Jasmine Paolini vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Liudmila Samsonova have met 2 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 0 sets to Samsonova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Samsonova's 10%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 62 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 64 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | L 64 67 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 36 64 64 | L 63 36 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 61 36 06 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | L 36 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 60 57 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | L 36 64 67 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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