Jasmine Paolini vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Liudmila Samsonova have met 2 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 0 sets to Samsonova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +3.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Samsonova's 20%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | W 46 62 75 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 62 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 64 46 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 61 36 06 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | L 36 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 60 57 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | L 36 64 67 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | W 64 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–44 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 45% |
| Sets won | 48% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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