Jasmine Paolini vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#190 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
15w3Jasmine Paolini and Laura Siegemund have met 4 times since 2018; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Siegemund's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Siegemund 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 126 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2019
Palermo
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 18, 2018
Bucharest
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | - |
| ROI % | -36.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Siegemund's 0%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 76 36 36 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–39 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 40% |
| Sets won | 48% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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