Jasmine Paolini vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇩🇪Laura Siegemund
#102 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
9w3Jasmine Paolini and Laura Siegemund have met 4 times since 2018; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Siegemund's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Siegemund 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Siegemund
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 102 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2019
Palermo
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 18, 2018
Bucharest
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -66.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Siegemund's 13%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 76 36 36 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 26 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 16 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 26 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 36 64 64 | L 67 64 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | W 64 76 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 36 06 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 38% |
| Sets won | 53% | 41% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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