Jasmine Paolini vs Jule NiemeierPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇩🇪Jule Niemeier
#454 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Jule Niemeier have met 3 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Parma Ladies Open - Parma in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Niemeier's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Niemeier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Jule Niemeier | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Niemeier 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Niemeier
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 71% vs 🧱 The Wall across 149 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2022
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 27, 2022
Parma Ladies Open - Parma
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +6.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +0.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | ITA → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Plovdiv · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lia Karatancheva
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lia Karatancheva
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist · Final
Aug 2
Sarah Van Emst
W50 Knokke-Heist · Semifinals
Aug 1
Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–40 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 43% |
| Sets won | 48% | 44% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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