Jasmine Paolini vs Jule NiemeierPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇩🇪Jule Niemeier
#405 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
TitleJasmine Paolini and Jule Niemeier have met 3 times since 2022; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Parma Ladies Open - Parma in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Niemeier's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Niemeier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Jule Niemeier | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Niemeier 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Niemeier
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,501 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2022
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 27, 2022
Parma Ladies Open - Parma
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Niemeier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Jule Niemeier | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -17.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -1.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | KAZ → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist · Final
Aug 2
Sarah Van Emst
W50 Knokke-Heist · Semifinals
Aug 1
Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Anastasiia Firman
W50 Knokke-Heist · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sandra Samir
W50 Knokke-Heist · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Angela Fita Boluda
W75 Olomouc · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 41% |
| Sets won | 53% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Niemeier |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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