Jannik Sinner vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Mackenzie McDonald have met 4 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 10 sets to McDonald's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 42/46 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 5/47 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 42/47 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 37% | 7/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 44/44 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 95% | 42/44 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2021
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs McDonald's 13%).
| Opponent | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | L 64 26 57 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 46 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 75 76 63 | L 62 36 46 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 76 63 | L 67 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | L 46 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | L 26 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–61 matches
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 95% | 41% |
| Sets won | 89% | 43% |
| Games won | 62% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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