Jannik Sinner vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Mackenzie McDonald have met 4 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 10 sets to McDonald's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 29% | 5/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 233 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2021
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–0 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -2.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs McDonald's 25%).
| Opponent | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 46 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 75 76 63 | L 62 36 46 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 76 63 | L 67 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | L 46 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | L 26 26 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 57 60 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–72 matches
| Metric | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 49% |
| Sets won | 87% | 48% |
| Games won | 62% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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