Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jaime Faria and Lorenzo Musetti have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Musetti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Faria has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Faria | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jaime Faria | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 22/40 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 13/27 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 31/67 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 16/44 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 30/39 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 22/39 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Faria 0, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Faria
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Faria | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jaime Faria | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.86u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Faria's 13%).
| Opponent | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 64 76 67 16 26 | L 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 46 | L 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 62 57 26 | W 75 76 |
| Casper Ruud | L 76 46 26 | L 36 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 67 64 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 36 | W 64 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 64 57 | W 67 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ben Shelton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Jenson Brooksby
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Titouan Droguet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Luciano Darderi
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Gonzalo Bueno
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Botic van de Zandschulp
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–75 matches
| Metric | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 57% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Faria | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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