Iga Swiatek vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 6, 2022
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 26 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 76 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 36 06 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | L 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | W 61 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 64 | W 61 64 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 63 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 76 46 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 46 64 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 49% |
| Sets won | 70% | 49% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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