Iga Swiatek vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleIga Swiatek and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 6, 2022
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 61 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 61 46 36 |
| Xiyu Wang | W 62 63 | L 63 26 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 76 46 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 76 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 36 06 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 64 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 55% |
| Sets won | 70% | 54% |
| Games won | 60% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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