Hugo Gaston vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 3 times since 2021; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 2–1. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Varillas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Banja Luka Open - Banja Luka (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 34% | 23/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Gaston and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2023
Banja Luka Open - Banja Luka
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 21, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varillas's 50%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 61 | W 76 46 63 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 76 75 | L 36 67 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 46 63 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–68 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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