Hugo Gaston vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 3 times since 2021; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 2–1. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Varillas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Banja Luka Open - Banja Luka (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Gaston and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2023
Banja Luka Open - Banja Luka
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 21, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 24, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varillas's 50%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 61 | W 76 46 63 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 76 75 | L 36 67 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 46 63 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–63 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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