Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2024; Hubert Hurkacz leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2024 on clay. Hurkacz has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Hurkacz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 4 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hubert Hurkacz.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · Final
May 14, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 76 | W 76 61 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 67 76 63 63 | L 63 36 26 |
| Marcos Giron | W 75 46 62 | W 61 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 46 | W 75 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 67 26 | L 36 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 62 | L 16 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 63 76 67 57 24 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 76 63 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 63 26 63 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 67 57 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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