Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at Cagliari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 17/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 20/45 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 12/32 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 16/29 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 17/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 1, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 2, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 26% | 6/23 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +21.1% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hurkacz's 30%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 67 67 | W 67 61 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L | L 16 67 |
| Learner Tien | W 57 63 64 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 67 | W 16 76 64 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 63 36 63 | W 76 76 60 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 46 46 | L |
| Emilio Nava | W 64 61 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 67 57 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–55 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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