Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at Cagliari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 1, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 2, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Stan Wawrinka | W 63 36 63 | W 67 76 76 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 62 76 | L 67 26 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 46 46 | L 57 25 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 63 26 63 | W 64 62 |
| Emilio Nava | W 64 61 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 67 57 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 64 46 | L 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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