Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. On grass courts Hurkacz leads 2–0. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 7 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 17/29 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 20/45 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 12/32 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 16/29 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 17/29 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 9, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 29, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 26% | 6/23 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +21.1% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 12 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Hurkacz and Musetti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | W 62 36 63 | L 67 63 67 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 64 63 | L |
| Alex de Minaur | L | W 75 36 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 76 67 46 76 46 | L 67 57 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 63 | W 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 63 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 46 46 | W |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 62 76 | L 36 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 62 | W 67 75 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–55 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 60% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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