Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. On grass courts Hurkacz leads 2–0. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 7 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 9, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 29, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 10, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Hurkacz and Musetti posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 76 67 46 76 46 | L 67 57 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 63 | W 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 63 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 76 | L 36 62 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 62 76 | L 36 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 62 | W 67 75 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | L 57 16 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 63 26 63 | W 63 60 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 67 26 | W 76 75 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 63 76 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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