Holger Rune vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2022; Holger Rune leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rune leads 5–0. Rune has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 11 sets to Humbert's 1. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 3, Humbert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 21, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–56 matches
| Metric | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
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