Hiroki Moriya vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and John Millman have met 5 times since 2016; John Millman leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Ningbo in 2016 on hard. On carpet courts Millman leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Millman has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 3 sets to Millman's 8. Their most recent meeting: John Millman won at Seoul (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Millman 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 173 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2022
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 12, 2019
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 16
Oct 5, 2017
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 16
Jun 7, 2017
Nottingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 19, 2016
Ningbo
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | - |
| ROI % | -29.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 0 | 2 |
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