Hiroki Moriya vs John MillmanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and John Millman have met 5 times since 2016; John Millman leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Ningbo in 2016 on hard. On carpet courts Millman leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Millman has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 3 sets to Millman's 8. Their most recent meeting: John Millman won at Seoul Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Millman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | John Millman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, Millman 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Millman
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward John Millman.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2022
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 12, 2019
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 16
Oct 5, 2017
Kaohsiung
? Carpet · Round of 16
Jun 7, 2017
Nottingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 19, 2016
Ningbo
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | -22.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 18
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 2nd Round
Jan 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | - |
| Sets won | 47% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Millman |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 0 | 2 |
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