Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hailey Baptiste
#45 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
20w33 meetings · sets 4–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Hailey Baptiste and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2021; Hailey Baptiste leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago in 2021 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hailey Baptiste won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 17/31 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 8/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 28, 2021
Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.66 |
| ROI % | - | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baptiste has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Paolini's 25%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L | W 64 46 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 62 | L 46 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | L 36 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 61 67 63 | L 46 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 63 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 67 63 | W 63 16 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | L 36 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round
Apr 25
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–39 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 51% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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