Francisco Cerundolo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#20 · 28 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 10–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wFrancisco Cerundolo and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2020; Francisco Cerundolo leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 5–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 10 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 3, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Francisco Cerundolo and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 21, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2021
Belgrade 1
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Dec 6, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Final
Nov 21, 2020
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 64 57 57 | L 67 63 57 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 60 76 | L 36 63 16 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 63 76 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–60 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 5 | 0 |
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