Francisco Cerundolo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
46 meetings · sets 10–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wFrancisco Cerundolo and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2020; Francisco Cerundolo leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 5–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 10 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 3, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Francisco Cerundolo and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 21, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2021
Belgrade 1
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Dec 6, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Final
Nov 21, 2020
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | — |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Dellien | W 60 76 | L 36 63 16 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 67 63 57 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 63 76 63 | L 46 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 63 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–54 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 5 | 0 |
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