Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Hugo Gaston have met 3 times since 2024; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 6 sets to Gaston's 3. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Francisco Cerundolo and Hugo Gaston are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Gaston's 38%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 67 36 | L 46 26 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | L 76 67 16 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 62 61 | W |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 75 64 | L 16 46 26 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 76 75 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 63 | W 62 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 16 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–60 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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