Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Hugo Gaston have met 3 times since 2024; Francisco Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 6 sets to Gaston's 3. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Francisco Cerundolo and Hugo Gaston are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | +1.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Gaston's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 75 64 | L 16 46 26 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 76 75 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 63 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–61 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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