Frances Tiafoe vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Stan Wawrinka have met 4 times since 2019; Stan Wawrinka leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 3–0. Wawrinka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Wawrinka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Wawrinka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 14, 2022
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 15, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Wawrinka's 0%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | L 64 67 46 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 67 62 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 36 63 76 | L 46 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 46 76 67 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 45% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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