Frances Tiafoe vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–0. Tiafoe has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 9 sets to Hijikata's 1. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 36% | 27/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Rinky Hijikata are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 3, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hijikata's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 64 67 | L 36 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 62 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 16 36 64 26 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 57 64 36 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 67 76 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | L 57 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | W 46 75 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–80 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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