Frances Tiafoe vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–0. Tiafoe has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 9 sets to Hijikata's 1. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Hijikata
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Frances Tiafoe.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 3, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | +15.7% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | +2.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hijikata's 40%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 67 76 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | L 57 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | W 46 75 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 46 57 |
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | L 64 36 57 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 76 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 62 62 | L 16 76 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 63 62 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–83 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 59% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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