Frances Tiafoe vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
45 meetings Β· sets 8β4

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#77 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
4Frances Tiafoe and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2021; Frances Tiafoe leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 8 sets to Giron's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Giron 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Giron
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π― Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Apr 5, 2022
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Nov 2, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β5 | 4β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 737 mi Β· 1,186 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Giron's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | W 76 61 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 57 62 62 | L 57 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 57 64 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | L 63 46 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 26 67 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 46 75 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | L 26 67 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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