Frances Tiafoe vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Tien's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Tien posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 64 67 | W 46 61 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | W 75 75 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 75 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | W 63 26 107 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | L 36 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | W 62 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 36 36 57 | L 26 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | W 64 36 61 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | W 64 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–65 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 66% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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