Frances Tiafoe vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2023; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Tien's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Tien posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | W 63 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 57 62 62 | L 57 67 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 61 46 76 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | L 76 46 67 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 36 63 76 | L 76 57 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 26 26 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 76 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 26 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 36 76 16 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | W 76 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 68% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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