Frances Tiafoe vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
4 meetings Β· sets 6β7

π©πͺJan-Lennard Struff
#59 Β· 36 yrs Β· R
Frances Tiafoe and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Antwerp in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tiafoe leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Struff's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Struff 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Struff
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jun 18, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass Β· Final
Sep 28, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Oct 11, 2019
Antwerp
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β5 | 5β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 663 mi Β· 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Struff's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | L 64 46 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | L 16 63 16 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 64 63 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 26 | L 57 67 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | W 36 67 76 75 42 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | L 67 63 26 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | L 46 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | L 67 36 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 57 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 50% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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