Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#4 · 26 yrs · R
8w3 meetings · sets 4–5
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#146 · 31 yrs · R
4Felix Auger-Aliassime and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2018; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–0. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 4 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 24/44 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 20/32 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 30/32 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 21, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Auger-Aliassime's 0%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 64 57 46 | L 62 16 26 |
| Terence Atmane | L 36 61 36 | W 63 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 | L 26 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–66 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 49% |
| Sets won | 66% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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