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Head-to-Head

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Felix Auger-Aliassime and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2018; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–0. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 4 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Wins in straight sets63%65%
Wins a set when losing19%32%
Goes to a deciding set32%33%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite48%42%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog38%37%
Tiebreak sets won66%24%
Wins after taking set 194%74%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 176%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, McDonald 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Auger-Aliassime

πŸ€– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

McDonald

βš™οΈ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The πŸ€– Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs βš™οΈ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Aug 28, 2023

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard Β· 1st Round

657
64
16
46
McDonald

Jun 15, 2022

Noventi Open - Halle

G Grass Β· 2nd Round

767
61
Auger-Aliassime

Mar 21, 2018

ATP Masters 1000 Miami

H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying

63
26
6678
McDonald

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
1 or more100%86%
3 or more100%57%
5 or more100%57%
10 or more57%0%
15 or more14%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
W-L7–33–7
Avg odds1.332.21
ROI %-11.2%-56.3%
Units P/L-1.12u-5.63u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Countries11
Events21
Matches31
Distance663 mi Β· 1,067 km0 mi Β· 0 km
RouteCHNPOR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Auger-Aliassime's 0%).

OpponentAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Rinky Hijikata
L
75
46
63
75
L
36
67
Aleksandar Kovacevic
L
64
57
46
L
62
16
26
Terence Atmane
L
36
61
36
W
63
61
Alex de Minaur
L
36
26
L
26
26
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Auger-Aliassime
WWLWWLLL
W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round

63
46
61

Oct 12

W

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round

46
761
75

Oct 10

L

Karen Khachanov

China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round

36
36

Sep 30

W

Arthur Rinderknech

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA Β· Rubber 4

46
765
64

Sep 19

W

Quentin Halys

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA Β· Rubber 2

765
46
63

Sep 18

L

Karen Khachanov

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round

765
36
26
26

Sep 3

L

Rinky Hijikata

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

75
46
63
75

Sep 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round

36
46

Aug 20

McDonald
LLLWWLLL
L

Ryan Nijboer

Braga Challenger Β· 1st Round

16
64
36

Oct 7

L

Toby Samuel

Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round

57
16

Sep 29

L

Dalibor Svrcina

U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round Qualifying

64
26
57

Aug 28

W

Thiago Seyboth Wild

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round Qualifying

64
64

Aug 26

W

Stefano Napolitano

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying

64
75

Aug 25

L

Jacob Fearnley

Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round

46
57

Aug 20

L

Yibing Wu

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying

677
61
57

Aug 11

L

Alex Michelsen

Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round

46
57

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Auger-AliassimeMcDonald ahead↓ McDonald

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51–68 matches

MetricAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Matches won68%41%
Sets won64%43%
Games won54%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Grand Slam01
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAuger-AliassimeMcDonald
Hard02
Grass10

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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mackenzie McDonald FAQ

Mackenzie McDonald leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.