Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#459 · 28 yrs · R
Title4 meetings · sets 2–7
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
4Felipe Meligeni Alves and Francisco Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2020; Francisco Cerundolo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Iasi Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Cerundolo has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 7. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Campinas Challenger (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 0, Cerundolo 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Felipe Meligeni Alves and Francisco Cerundolo are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 19, 2021
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 28, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Dec 5, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 17, 2020
Iasi Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.39u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | BRA → MEX | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Final
Aug 8
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Final
Jul 26
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–54 matches
| Metric | Alves | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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