Federico Coria vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Coria and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2019; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Varillas leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Coria has taken 4 sets to Varillas's 9. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Guayaquil Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 1/11 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 4/18 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 5/15 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 0, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 11, 2021
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Final
Oct 5, 2019
Campinas
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 5, 2019
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.57 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -57.2% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.86u | +5.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Coria and Varillas posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 46 26 | W 64 36 76 |
| Andrea Collarini | W 76 75 | L 61 26 46 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 46 16 | L 06 57 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 61 46 63 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Vitaliy Sachko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Taro Daniel
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–66 matches
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 59% |
| Sets won | 38% | 55% |
| Games won | 46% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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