Federico Coria vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Federico Coria
#897 · 34 yrs · R
5w5 meetings · sets 4–9
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Federico Coria and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2019; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Varillas leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Coria has taken 4 sets to Varillas's 9. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Guayaquil Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Coria | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Coria | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 4/6 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 4/4 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Coria 0, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 11, 2021
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Final
Oct 5, 2019
Campinas
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 5, 2019
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Coria | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Coria | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -9.0% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.72u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Coria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Varillas's 33%).
| Opponent | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Collarini | W 76 75 | L 61 26 46 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 46 16 | L 06 57 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 61 46 63 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–63 matches
| Metric | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 57% |
| Sets won | 42% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Coria | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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