Facundo Mena vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦π·Facundo Mena
#345 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
5 meetings Β· sets 0β10

π΅πͺJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
4w3Facundo Mena and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2017; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 5β0. Their first meeting came at Medellin in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 5β0. Varillas has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Mena has taken 0 sets to Varillas's 10. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mena | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Mena | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/61 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 26% | 5/19 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mena 0, Pablo Varillas 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mena
π₯ Big Hitter
Varillas
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs πͺ Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2022
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Mar 1, 2021
Buenos Aires
C Clay Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9, 2017
Floridablanca
C Clay Β· Round of 32
Jul 7, 2017
Medellin
C Clay Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mena | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Mena | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β8 | 5β2 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -12.1% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.57u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,315 mi Β· 2,117 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | POL β ITA β SUI β GER | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Mena's 44%).
| Opponent | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 36 36 | W 26 75 62 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 67 61 26 | L 46 75 16 |
| Lorenzo Claverie | L 67 67 | W 63 61 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 75 62 | W 61 63 |
| Mariano Kestelboim | W 64 64 | W 60 64 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 16 46 | L 63 26 46 |
| Sebastian Gima | W 63 61 | L 46 26 |
| Murkel Dellien | W 62 64 | W 60 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 57 46 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger Β· Final
Aug 29
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Augsburg Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 28
Daniel Masur
Augsburg Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Max Hans Rehberg
Augsburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sion Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Thomas Faurel
Todi Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 11
Tomasz Berkieta
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 61β63 matches
| Metric | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mena | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 5 |
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