Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2022; Matteo Arnaldi leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at San Marino Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Marozsan has taken 1 sets to Arnaldi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marozsan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fabian Marozsan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 20/44 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 8/24 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 14/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marozsan 0, Arnaldi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fabian Marozsan.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 21, 2025
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 12, 2022
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marozsan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fabian Marozsan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +8.5% | -33.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marozsan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Arnaldi's 44%).
| Opponent | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Damir Dzumhur | W 62 61 | L 67 76 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 06 36 | L 46 46 |
| Alex Molcan | W 26 76 76 | L 36 16 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 36 76 64 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 36 | W 26 63 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 26 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 63 76 | L 16 76 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | L 46 26 36 |
| Luca Nardi | W 76 63 | W 60 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Shintaro Mochizuki
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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