Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2022; Matteo Arnaldi leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at San Marino Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Marozsan has taken 1 sets to Arnaldi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marozsan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Fabian Marozsan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 18/43 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marozsan 0, Arnaldi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 21, 2025
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 12, 2022
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marozsan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Fabian Marozsan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -24.2% | -29.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | -2.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Marozsan and Arnaldi posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 26 46 | L 57 46 |
| James Duckworth | L 76 26 46 | L 75 36 26 67 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 62 61 | L 67 76 67 |
| Alex Molcan | W 26 76 76 | L 36 16 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 36 76 64 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 36 | W 26 63 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 26 36 | W 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | L 46 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Louis Van Herck
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, LUX-HUN 0-4 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–50 matches
| Metric | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 52% |
| Sets won | 50% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marozsan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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