Eva Lys vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
431 meeting · sets 1–2
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Naomi Osaka have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lys has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | +2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Lys's 44%).
| Opponent | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | W 63 16 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | W 64 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | W 61 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 64 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 46 75 | W 76 67 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | W 63 46 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 36 46 | L 26 16 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 62 62 | W 76 36 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–43 matches
| Metric | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 72% |
| Sets won | 43% | 67% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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