Eva Lys vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#136 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wEva Lys and Jessica Pegula have met 1 time since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lys has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 11,989 mi · 19,294 km | — |
| Route | BRA → POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Lys's 10%).
| Opponent | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | W 36 64 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | W 63 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 16 | W 16 64 63 |
| Sofia Kenin | L 61 36 36 | W 63 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 36 46 | W 75 46 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | L 36 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–66 matches
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 77% |
| Sets won | 39% | 69% |
| Games won | 44% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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