Eva Lys vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Eva Lys
#98 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
431 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Eva Lys and Jessica Pegula have met 1 time since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lys has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 7/14 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -58.0% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 11 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Lys's 30%).
| Opponent | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 36 46 | W 75 46 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | W 62 46 75 |
| Emma Navarro | L 67 36 | W 75 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | L 36 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 46 75 | W 46 63 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | W 64 60 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Elina Svitolina
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Magdalena Frech
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sorana Cirstea
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Petra Marcinko
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Naomi Osaka
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–76 matches
| Metric | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 75% |
| Sets won | 43% | 66% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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