Emma Navarro vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2025; Emma Navarro leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Navarro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 4 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Swiatek 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 22, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Navarro's 30%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 26 | L 57 64 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | W 36 61 62 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | W 62 61 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 64 | W 60 63 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 61 60 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 64 26 | W 62 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 64 06 46 | W 61 67 63 |
| Magda Linette | L 63 36 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–61 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 72% |
| Sets won | 52% | 70% |
| Games won | 50% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.