Elise Mertens vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Elise Mertens and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Montreal in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–1. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 7 sets to Zhang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 8, 2018
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zhang's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 62 36 63 | W |
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | W 76 57 75 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 62 76 | L 16 36 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 62 75 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 26 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 75 16 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 36 26 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | W 76 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–63 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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