Elise Mertens vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#53 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4Elise Mertens and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2018; Elise Mertens leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Montreal in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–1. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 7 sets to Zhang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 8, 2018
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zhang's 20%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 62 75 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 26 16 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 26 63 60 | L 16 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 75 16 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 36 26 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | W 76 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 57 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 62 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–59 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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