Head-to-Head

Elise Mertens vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇪Elise Mertens

#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed

2–0

2 meetings · sets 4–0

🇺🇸Peyton Stearns

#37 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed

Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns have met 2 times since 2024; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Mertens	Stearns
Indicator	Elise Mertens		Peyton Stearns
Wins in straight sets	71%	24/34	76%	19/25
Wins a set when losing	33%	7/21	48%	11/23
Goes to a deciding set	31%	17/55	35%	17/48
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	55%	21/38	45%	13/29
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	50%	8/16	56%	10/18
Tiebreak sets won	63%	5/8	64%	7/11
Wins after taking set 1	90%	28/31	85%	23/27
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	77%	24/31	70%	19/27

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Stearns 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mertens

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Stearns

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Mar 21, 2025

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

Mertens

Feb 12, 2024

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · 1st Round

Mertens

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Mertens	Stearns
Outcome	Elise Mertens		Peyton Stearns
1 or more	88%	14/16	100%	14/14
3 or more	75%	12/16	50%	7/14
5 or more	56%	9/16	43%	6/14
10 or more	0%	0/16	0%	0/14
15 or more	0%	0/16	0%	0/14
20 or more	0%	0/16	0%	0/14

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Mertens	Stearns
W-L	10–6	7–7
Avg odds	2.05	1.76
ROI %	+23.4%	-15.9%
Units P/L	+3.74u	-2.22u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Mertens	Stearns
Countries	2	3
Events	2	3
Matches	6	6
Distance	2,779 mi · 4,472 km	8,184 mi · 13,171 km
Route	SGP → ROU	UKR → ROU → CZE

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Stearns's 30%).

Opponent	Mertens	Stearns
Liudmila Samsonova	W 16 63 60	W 76 62
Diane Parry	L 46 60 36	W 62 75
Kaitlin Quevedo	W 64 64	L 26 57
Nikola Bartunkova	W 16 64 62	L 46 63 57
Elena Gabriela Ruse	L 36 36	L 06 57
Elvina Kalieva	W 62 60	L 16 62 36
Belinda Bencic	L 26 36	L 36 36
Daria Kasatkina	L 46 06	L 16 36
Mccartney Kessler	W	L 06 63 46
Barbora Krejcikova	W 57 61 75	W 64 16 76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mertens

LWWWWLLW

Qinwen Zheng

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 10

Iga Swiatek

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

76⁰

Oct 9

Coco Gauff

China Open - Beijing · 4th Round

Oct 7

Jelena Ostapenko

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

Oct 5

Katie Volynets

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

Oct 3

Maja Chwalinska

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

Sep 25

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

Sep 6

Maria Timofeeva

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

76⁵

Sep 3

Stearns

LLWLWWWL

Han Shi

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 10

Viktorija Golubic

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

Oct 2

Liudmila Samsonova

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals

76⁷

Sep 19

Iva Jovic

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final

Sep 19

Sloane Stephens

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals

76⁶

Sep 18

Diane Parry

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round

Sep 15

Emiliana Arango

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round

Sep 13

Harriet Dart

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

Aug 31

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MertensMertens ahead↓ Stearns

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–55 matches

Metric	Mertens	Stearns
Matches won	62%	52%
Sets won	59%	54%
Games won	54%	51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Mertens	Stearns
WTA 1000	2	0

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Mertens	Stearns
Hard	2	0

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Elise Mertens vs Peyton Stearns FAQ

Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Mertens rivalries

More Stearns rivalries

Elise Mertens vs Peyton Stearns FAQ

Who leads the Elise Mertens vs Peyton Stearns head-to-head?

Who won the last Elise Mertens vs Peyton Stearns match?

How many times have Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns played?

Who leads the Elise Mertens vs Peyton Stearns head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns last play each other?