Elise Mertens vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns have met 2 times since 2024; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | ECU → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Stearns's 14%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | L 46 63 57 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 06 57 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 60 | L 16 62 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 36 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 16 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | L 06 63 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | W 64 16 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 51% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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