Elise Mertens vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#67 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 3 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Serrano's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 3, Victoria Quinde Serrano 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Serrano
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 31, 2025
Singapore Open - Singapore
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -52.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -2.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Serrano's 20%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | L 63 36 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 67 64 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 62 36 63 | L 36 16 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 61 | W 63 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | L 26 57 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | L 57 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 36 64 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 26 61 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 64 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Lanlana Tararudee
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.