Elise Mertens vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#58 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3Elise Mertens and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 3 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Serrano's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 3, Victoria Quinde Serrano 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Serrano
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 31, 2025
Singapore Open - Singapore
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -2.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Serrano's 14%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | L 57 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 26 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 36 64 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 26 61 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 64 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Storm Hunter
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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