Elise Mertens vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 10–1
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Katerina Siniakova have met 5 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Sydney in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–0. On clay courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 10 sets to Siniakova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 84% | 16/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 4, Siniakova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 23, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 25, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 13, 2019
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Siniakova's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | L 26 46 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | W 61 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | L 36 57 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | L 75 46 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 46 76 63 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 60 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 51% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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