Elina Svitolina vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; Elina Svitolina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 7 sets to Muchova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 2, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 18, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2019
Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Muchova's 70%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 62 63 | L 36 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | W 36 64 61 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 63 62 | W 46 64 62 |
| Katie Boulter | W 75 64 | W 76 61 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 62 36 | W 63 64 |
| Maya Joint | W 62 67 64 | W 63 75 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 36 76 60 | W 61 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | L 26 06 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 36 60 63 | W 64 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 76% |
| Sets won | 68% | 68% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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