Elina Svitolina vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7wElina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; Elina Svitolina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Svitolina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 7 sets to Muchova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 2, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 18, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2019
Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Tereza Valentova | W 36 76 60 | W 61 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | L 26 06 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 36 60 63 | W 64 75 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 64 | L 61 26 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | L 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | W 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 75 | L 26 75 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | W 62 16 76 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 62 26 | W 26 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 64 60 | L 63 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 75% |
| Sets won | 67% | 67% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.