Elina Svitolina vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2025; Elina Svitolina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 5 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 0, Paolini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 19, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 1, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | W 61 62 |
| Daria Snigur | L 57 26 | L 63 67 26 |
| Solana Sierra | W 61 62 | L 63 46 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | W 67 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 62 26 | L 36 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 61 64 | W 75 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 51% |
| Sets won | 68% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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