Elina Svitolina vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wElina Svitolina and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2025; Elina Svitolina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 5 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 0, Paolini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 19, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 1, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | W 61 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 64 | L 76 36 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | W 67 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 62 26 | L 36 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 61 64 | W 75 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 61 62 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 58% |
| Sets won | 67% | 53% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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