Elena Rybakina vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏElena Rybakina
#2 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

πΊπ¦Yuliia Starodubtseva
#58 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3Elena Rybakina and Yuliia Starodubtseva have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 3 sets to Starodubtseva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 42/60 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 25/72 | 35% | 21/60 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 41/64 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 49/52 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 42/52 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Starodubtseva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
π€ Servebot
Starodubtseva
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 3,070 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 6, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
May 27, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β3 | 5β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | 2.48 |
| ROI % | +7.0% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -2.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 7 |
| Distance | 979 mi Β· 1,576 km | 3,134 mi Β· 5,043 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β NED | POL β AUT β NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Starodubtseva's 40%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 16 76 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 61 63 | L 16 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 62 | L 57 64 46 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | L 36 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | W 62 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 26 76 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 61 | L 46 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Eva Lys | L 36 61 46 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Sakkari
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Ella Seidel
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 60β72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 52% |
| Sets won | 75% | 53% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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