Elena Rybakina vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wElena Rybakina and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 9, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | - |
| ROI % | +28.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Gracheva's 43%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | W 64 46 75 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | L 46 06 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 36 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | L 67 06 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 46 06 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 62 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 62 64 | W 46 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 53% |
| Sets won | 74% | 48% |
| Games won | 58% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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