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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
3–0

3 meetings · sets 6–0

Varvara Gracheva

🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva

#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

24w

Elena Rybakina and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaGracheva
Wins in straight sets68%17%
Wins a set when losing62%20%
Goes to a deciding set37%44%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%33%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%42%
Tiebreak sets won53%33%
Wins after taking set 194%80%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%20%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Gracheva 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Gracheva

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 22, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 2nd Round

75
62
Rybakina

Mar 14, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

63
60
Rybakina

Feb 9, 2022

St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg

H Hard · 1st Round

62
61
Rybakina

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaGracheva
W-L11–3-
Avg odds1.32-
ROI %+6.4%-
Units P/L+0.90u-

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaGracheva
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches8—
Distance411 mi · 662 km—
RouteCAN → POL—

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Gracheva's 43%).

OpponentRybakinaGracheva
Ann Li
W
62
75
L
46
06
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
L
36
16
Maria Sakkari
W
64
61
L
67
06
Jessica Pegula
W
26
63
64
L
46
06
Xi Yao Wang
W
62
64
W
46
63
64
Xin Yu Wang
W
62
64
W
46
63
64
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
W
62
26
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Gracheva
LLLWLWWL
L

Magda Linette

Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round

62
26
06

Mar 17

L

Lilli Tagger

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round

26
46

Mar 5

L

Jessica Pegula

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round

46
06

Feb 17

W

Rebecca Sramkova

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round

75
16
64

Feb 16

L

Maria Sakkari

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round

637
06

Feb 11

W

Linda Noskova

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round

62
26
75

Feb 10

W

Laura Siegemund

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round

763
64

Feb 8

L

Elena Rybakina

Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round

57
26

Jan 22

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Gracheva

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–70 matches

MetricRybakinaGracheva
Matches won81%38%
Sets won73%36%
Games won58%43%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaGracheva
Grand Slam10
WTA 50010
WTA 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaGracheva
Hard30

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Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.