Elena Rybakina vs Thea FrodinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.02 or shorter, Elena Rybakina has won 10 of 10 matches, 100% against a fair-price expectation of 94%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Elena Rybakina and Thea Frodin meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Thea Frodin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Frodin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thea Frodin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Rybakina and Frodin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Thea Frodin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -20.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
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Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lea Nilsson
W35 Ystad · Semifinals
Jun 20
Ida Wobker
W35 Ystad · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Olga Golas
W35 Ystad · 1st Round
Jun 17
Eva Vedder
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · 1st Round
May 6
Akasha Urhobo
W100 Bonita Springs · 1st Round
Apr 29
Mary Stoiana
W100 Charlottesville · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 52% |
| Sets won | 73% | 48% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |