Elena Rybakina vs Thea FrodinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elena Rybakina and Thea Frodin have met 1 time since 2026; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Frodin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Thea Frodin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Frodin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Frodin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thea Frodin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Frodin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Thea Frodin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 4.37 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -67.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -3.39u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | TUR → BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 29
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lea Nilsson
W35 Ystad · Semifinals
Jun 20
Ida Wobker
W35 Ystad · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 59% |
| Sets won | 74% | 56% |
| Games won | 58% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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