Elena Rybakina vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏElena Rybakina
#1 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 4β1

πΊπΈTaylor Townsend
#89 Β· 30 yrs Β· Left-Handed
5w3Elena Rybakina and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2β0. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 4 sets to Townsend's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Townsend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
π€ Servebot
Townsend
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Taylor Townsend are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β2 | 7β3 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +2.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | ROU | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Townsend's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | W 67 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | L 46 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | L 46 06 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | W 62 67 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 16 62 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 63 16 46 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | L 46 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 36 61 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 63% |
| Sets won | 74% | 60% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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