Elena Rybakina vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elena Rybakina and Sonay Kartal have met 1 time since 2026; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | +16.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Rybakina and Kartal posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | L 63 46 36 | L 46 16 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | W 64 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 46 76 67 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Anhelina Kalinina
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xin Yu Wang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 4th Round
Mar 11
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 70% |
| Sets won | 74% | 66% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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