Elena Rybakina vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
83 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Kenin's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 244 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kenin's 25%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | L 64 36 57 |
| Eva Lys | L 36 61 46 | W 16 63 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | L 46 06 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 61 | L 26 64 67 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | L 61 36 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W 64 46 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 33% |
| Sets won | 73% | 38% |
| Games won | 58% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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