Elena Rybakina vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Elena Rybakina and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Kenin's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 269 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kenin's 13%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | L 63 46 36 | L 63 67 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 36 61 64 | L 61 36 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 36 16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | L 64 36 57 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | L 46 06 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 61 | L 26 64 67 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W 64 46 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 27% |
| Sets won | 74% | 35% |
| Games won | 58% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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