Elena Rybakina vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
81 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wElena Rybakina and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Uchijima's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 16 06 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 57 64 | L 64 36 06 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | L 36 16 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | L 26 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 63 16 67 | L 36 61 36 |
| Kaja Juvan | W 64 63 | L 67 63 06 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 62 63 | W 67 63 61 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 62 64 | W 64 76 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 62 64 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 49% |
| Sets won | 73% | 50% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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