Elena Rybakina vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#1 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฏ๐ตMoyuka Uchijima
#121 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4Elena Rybakina and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Uchijima
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ2 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -4.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | POR โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Uchijima's 25%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | L |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | L 36 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | L 36 61 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 57 64 | L 64 36 06 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | L 36 16 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | W 76 63 |
| Kaja Juvan | W 64 63 | L 67 63 06 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 62 63 | W 67 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 50% |
| Sets won | 74% | 51% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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