Elena Rybakina vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#56 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Frech's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -2.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Frech's 60%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 61 64 | L 46 16 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 64 | W 60 63 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L | W 62 75 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 63 46 76 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 63 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 06 63 46 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | L 26 46 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 43% |
| Sets won | 74% | 46% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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