Elena Rybakina vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
83 meetings · sets 6–1
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#37 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Frech's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 50% | 10/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.40 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Frech's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 36 16 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 46 76 64 | L 46 16 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 63 46 76 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 63 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 06 63 46 |
| Eva Lys | L 36 61 46 | L 67 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | L 26 46 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | W 61 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 46 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 41% |
| Sets won | 73% | 43% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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