Elena Rybakina vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 8–11
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova have met 7 times since 2021; Liudmila Samsonova leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Rogers Cup - Montreal in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 4–2. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 8 sets to Samsonova's 11. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 0, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 4th Round
May 24, 2025
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Final
Feb 10, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 21, 2022
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2021
Rogers Cup - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +3.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samsonova's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 64 46 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | W 46 62 75 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 76 | L 36 64 67 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | W 76 57 75 |
| Ann Li | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 57 64 | L 57 36 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | L 61 36 06 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 45% |
| Sets won | 74% | 50% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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