Elena Rybakina vs Julieta ParejaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Julieta Pareja
#250 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
3Elena Rybakina and Julieta Pareja have met 1 time since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Pareja's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Pareja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Julieta Pareja | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 18% | 7/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 88% | 22/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Pareja 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Pareja
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Pareja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Julieta Pareja | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | +8.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +1.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rybakina and Pareja posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Thea Frodin | W 63 62 | W 57 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Semifinals
Oct 4
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Mary Stoiana
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Thea Frodin
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 29
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Lizette Cabrera
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Iryna Shymanovich
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 68% |
| Sets won | 74% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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