Elena Rybakina vs Julieta ParejaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
81 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Julieta Pareja
#284 · 17 yrs · Right-Handed
6wElena Rybakina and Julieta Pareja have met 1 time since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Pareja's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Pareja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Julieta Pareja | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 17% | 5/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Pareja 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Pareja
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Pareja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Julieta Pareja | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | +0.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mary Stoiana
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Haruka Kaji
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Sakura Hosogi
W50 Columbus · Final
Jul 12
Rebecca Marino
W50 Columbus · Semifinals
Jul 11
Haruka Kaji
W50 Columbus · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Hanna Chang
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mia Slama
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 68% |
| Sets won | 73% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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