Elena Rybakina vs Julia RieraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
81 meeting · sets 2–1
🇦🇷Julia Riera
#147 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElena Rybakina and Julia Riera have met 1 time since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 2 sets to Riera's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Riera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Julia Riera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 64% | 29/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 45% | 30/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 49% | 24/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 87% | 34/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 0, Riera 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Riera
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Julia Riera.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Riera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Julia Riera | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -5.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.02u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rybakina and Riera posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W75 Vacaria · Final
Jul 26
Laura Pigossi
W75 Vacaria · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
W75 Vacaria · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carolina Bohrer Martins
W75 Vacaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa
W75 Vacaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nuria Brancaccio
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Danka Kovinic
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Darja Semenistaja
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 68% |
| Sets won | 73% | 64% |
| Games won | 58% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Riera |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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