Elena Rybakina vs Hailey BaptistePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Hailey Baptiste
#45 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
20w3Elena Rybakina and Hailey Baptiste have met 2 times since 2025; Elena Rybakina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2–0. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 4 sets to Baptiste's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Baptiste | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Hailey Baptiste | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 50% | 8/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Baptiste 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Hailey Baptiste are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | - |
| ROI % | +28.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Baptiste's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | W 26 62 76 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | L 63 06 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 64 | W 63 67 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 63 75 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L |
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | W 75 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 16 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 46 67 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round
Apr 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 61% |
| Sets won | 74% | 56% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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