Elena Rybakina vs Greet MinnenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#1 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ0

๐ง๐ชGreet Minnen
#235 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wElena Rybakina and Greet Minnen have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Rybakina leads 2โ0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Minnen's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Minnen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Greet Minnen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 17% | 7/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Minnen 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Minnen
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 21, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Minnen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Greet Minnen | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ2 | 3โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rybakina and Minnen posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | L 63 46 36 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Teresa Franco Dias
W50 Evora ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Jeline Vandromme
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Isabella Shinikova
W75 Ourense ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W75 Ourense ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Sahaja Yamalapalli
W75 Ourense ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 62% |
| Sets won | 74% | 60% |
| Games won | 58% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Minnen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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