Elena Rybakina vs Fiona FerroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
83 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐ซ๐ทFiona Ferro
#141 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4wElena Rybakina and Fiona Ferro have met 3 times since 2020; Fiona Ferro leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Ferro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 3 sets to Ferro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Fiona Ferro won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Ferro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Fiona Ferro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 92% | 22/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Ferro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Ferro
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2020
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Ferro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Fiona Ferro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ3 | 9โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -16.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -2.33u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ferro's 0%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Palicova
W75 Hechingen ยท Final
Aug 2
Eva Bennemann
W75 Hechingen ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W75 Hechingen ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Noemi Basiletti
W75 Hechingen ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sapfo Sakellaridi
W75 Hechingen ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Francesca Jones
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo ยท Final
Jul 26
Lucia Bronzetti
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Mina Hodzic
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 62% |
| Sets won | 73% | 60% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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