Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–4
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Ekaterina Alexandrova and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Toronto in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 5 sets to Zhang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Zhang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 269 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 18, 2022
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zhang's 10%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 63 36 | L 36 26 |
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 75 16 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | L 57 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 36 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | L 16 46 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 26 | W |
| Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W 62 62 | L 46 61 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 57 | L 36 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | L 36 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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