Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#67 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 4 times since 2021; Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Serrano's 6. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Victoria Quinde Serrano 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Serrano
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -52.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -2.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Serrano's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 36 64 26 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 75 | W 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 26 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | L 16 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 46 76 63 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | L 57 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 26 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 57 | L 64 26 57 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 26 | L 36 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Lanlana Tararudee
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–51 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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