Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#58 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 4 times since 2021; Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Serrano's 6. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Victoria Quinde Serrano 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Serrano
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -2.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Serrano's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | L 16 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 46 76 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 16 | L 36 64 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | L 57 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 26 57 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 57 26 | L 26 61 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 57 | L 64 26 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 64 62 | W 61 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 26 | L 36 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Storm Hunter
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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